Israel and Syria : the military balance and prospects of war / Anthony H. Cordesman ; with the assistance of Aram Nerguizian and Ionut C. Popescu.
Israel and Syria: The Military Balance and Prospects of War provides a detailed and current picture of the military capabilities of Israel and Syria, reflecting the changes and lessons of the Israel-Hezbollah War in 2006 and other recent conflicts. It offers extensive analysis, supported by tables a...
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Westport, Conn. : Washington, D.C. :
Praeger Security International ; Published in cooperation with the Center for Strategic and International Studies,
2008.
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Table of Contents:
- Figures
- Sources and methods
- ch. 1. Prospects for peace or war
- Military developments after the Israeli-Hezbollah War
- Shifts on the Golan
- A growing missile threat?
- Israeli and Syrian alarms and excursions in 2007
- Conventional military tensions
- Israeli raid on Syrian "nuclear" facilities
- The prospects for war
- ch. 2. Major trends in force strength
- Israeli force quality versus Syrian force quantity
- Looking at a snapshot of total forces
- Comparative manpower quantity and quality
- ch. 3. Comparative land force strength : active versus mobilized strength
- Comparative land force manpower
- Armor and anti-tank weapons
- Artillery weapons
- Anti-aircraft weapons
- ch. 4. Comparative air strength : quality over quantity
- Comparative air force strength
- Air force manpower
- Air force aircraft, weapons, and technology
- Comparative land-based air defense forces
- ch. 5. Comparative naval strength : peripheral missions
- Shifts in the role of seapower
- Naval manpower
- Naval ships, weapons, and technology
- ch. 6. Total resources : recapitalization, force modernization, and impact on effectiveness
- Comparative trends in military expenditures
- Comparative trends in arms imports
- Recent deals : the importance of the US, Russia and Iran.
- ch. 7. The military forces of Israel
- Israel's struggle to maintain its conventional "edge"
- Adapting to asymmetric wars
- The impact of the Israeli-Palestinian conflict
- The threat from Syrian weapons of mass destruction
- Seeking to add an asymmetric "edge" to a conventional one
- Adapting to new threats while retaining conventional military strengths
- The impact of the Israeli-Hezbollah War
- Restructuring forces to meet new mission needs
- Trends in manpower and total force strength before the 2006 Lebanon war : active versus reserve forces
- The "Kela 2008 plan"
- Kushet (Rainbow) plan
- Israeli defense planning after the 2006 Lebanon war
- The Winograd Commission
- Post-Hezbollah War reforms
- The Teffen 2012 five-year plan : implementing lessons learned?
- Israeli land forces
- Israeli air forces
- Land force transformation
- Changes in command and control and netcentric warfare
- Main battle tanks
- Other armor
- Antitank weapons
- Upgrading lighter vehicles and support forces
- Artillery forces
- Asymmetric warfare capabilities
- Other aspects of land force development
- Israeli land-based air defenses
- IAF fixed-wing combat forces
- IAF rotary-wing combat forces
- IAF "enablers"
- Modern air operations "Are" joint operations
- Air defense and air-to-air combat capability
- Air offense and air-to-ground combat capability
- Air operations for asymmetric warfare
- IAF readiness and training standards
- Current superiority and future challenges.
- Israeli naval forces
- Surface fleet developments
- Smaller surface ships
- Submarine forces
- Amphibious forces
- Naval aviation
- The Navy's role in asymmetric warfare
- Naval readiness and mission capability
- Israel's counterterrorism and internal security forces
- Israeli capabilities
- Israeli terrorist groups
- Internal security versus human rights and political impacts
- Israeli weapons of mass destruction and missile defenses
- Probable Israeli capabilities
- Shifts in Israeli missile defenses
- ch. 8. The military forces of Syria
- Syria's long proxy war with Israel
- Internal stability, Alawite rule, and the Shi'ite crescent
- Syria's broader regional issues
- The trends in Syrian forces
- The Syrian modernization and recapitalization crisis
- The Russian connection
- Future arms deliveries
- Continuing to go "hollow"
- Syrian land forces
- Syrian force strengths and deployments
- Syrian main battle tanks
- Syrian other armored vehicles
- Syrian antitank weapons
- Syrian artillery
- Syrian rocket forces
- Syrian army air defenses
- Syrian army training, readiness, and warfighting capability
- Syrian air and air defense forces
- Syrian combat air strength
- Syrian rotary-wing combat strength
- Syrian air force training, readiness, and warfighting capabilities
- Syrian land-based air defenses
- Syrian air-defense weapons
- Shorter range Syrian air defenses
- Syrian air-defense training, readiness, and warfighting capabilities
- Syria's need for air-defense modernization.
- Syrian naval forces
- Syrian surface forces
- Syrian amphibious capability
- Syrian naval aviation
- Syrian coastal-defense forces
- Syrian naval readiness, training, and warfighting capability
- Syrian paramilitary, security, and intelligence forces
- Syrian weapons of mass destruction
- The strategic geography of the Golan Heights
- The new dimensions of the strategic geography of the Golan
- The UN peacekeeping force on the Golan
- Israeli positions on the Golan
- Syrian positions near the Golan
- A Syrian surprise attack or "grab for the Golan
- Syrian options and motives
- The operational challenges Syria would face
- The risk of air and missile escalation
- Israeli options against Syria
- The cost of an IDF advance into Syria
- Israel's ability to use the AirLand battle in offensive operations
- Israel's deep strike and strategic air option
- Assessing the balance of risks.
- ch. 10. Continuing external asymmetric wars
- Israel's "haves" versus Syria's "haves not"
- Syria's real-world strategic priorities versus asymmetric adventures
- The cost-benefits of the "spoiler" game
- The possible impact of the Israeli-Palestinian conflict
- Gaming a future Israeli-Hezbollah conflict?
- The Lebanese "wild card"
- The Lebanese armed forces
- Hezbollah's domestic and international posture
- The Iranian wild card
- Iranian proliferation
- The Israeli view and the uncertain Iranian strategic calculus
- Iran and the prospects for future military strike
- Possible Iranian response
- Shifts in Israeli strategic nuclear forces
- Notes.