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|a (TOE)ost6274239
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|a (TOE)6274239
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|a E 1.99:TENRAC/EP-83-003
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|a E 1.99:TENRAC/EP-83-003
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|a TENRAC/EP-83-003
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|a Investment model for the US Gulf Coast refining/petrochemical complex
|h [electronic resource]
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260 |
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|a Oak Ridge, Tenn. :
|b Distributed by the Office of Scientific and Technical Information, U.S. Department of Energy,
|c 1983.
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|a Size: Pages: 312 :
|b digital, PDF file.
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336 |
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|a text
|b txt
|2 rdacontent.
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|a computer
|b c
|2 rdamedia.
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|a online resource
|b cr
|2 rdacarrier.
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|a Published through Scitech Connect.
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|a 03/01/1983.
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|a "TENRAC/EP-83-003."
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|a "Other: ON: DE83902100."
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|a Langston, V. C.;
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|a Texas Energy and Natural Resources Advisory Council, Austin (USA)
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|a Historical Energy Database (United States)
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|a The US Gulf Coast refining complex now faces a declining local resource base, a declining market which is primarily in the Eastern US, and projected excess refining and petrochemical capacity in the world through the 1980s. The industry must choose competitively the location of future processing investment. Will the Gulf Coast Complex receive this investment under an optimal strategy for industry. This study addresses that question. A multi-period, multi-region, multi-product, multi-process linear programming model is developed to analyze investment decisions under selected scenarios. This supply-side modelling incorporates detailed technical information about production processes and products to predict efficient process utilization among refining centers over time given regional crude availability, product demands, and refining costs. The model combines refinery activities and primary petrochemical plant activities at three regional centers: (1) the US Gulf Coast, (2) the Eastern US, and (3) Europe and the Caribbean Islands. These centers compete for markets and investment dollars by minimizing the total discounted costs of delivered products. A base case and 4 alternate cases are formulated using 1980 base year data and currently forecasted growth factors. The base case forecasts a serious slowdown in investment spending by the refining industry over the next 15 years. Under a $5.00/barrel import fee, the eastern US refiners lose about 21% of their base case refined products market. The most startling effect, however, is the loss of 50% of the US Gulf Coast's petrochemical production. In the other scenarios the Gulf Coast's position is improved.
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|a 29 energy planning, policy and economy
|2 local.
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|a 02 petroleum
|2 local.
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|a Gulf coast
|2 local.
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|a Petrochemical plants
|2 local.
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|a Petroleum refineries
|2 local.
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|a Economic growth
|2 local.
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|a Forecasting
|2 local.
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|a Investment
|2 local.
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|a Competition
|2 local.
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|a Computerized simulation
|2 local.
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|a Et al
|2 local.
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|a Energy planning, policy and economy
|2 local.
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|a Petroleum
|2 local.
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|a Historical Energy Database (United States).
|f res.
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|a United States.
|b Department of Energy.
|b Office of Scientific and Technical Information
|4 dst.
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|u https://www.osti.gov/servlets/purl/6274239
|z Full Text (via OSTI)
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907 |
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|a .b128326748
|b 02-28-23
|c 12-08-22
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998 |
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|a web
|b 12-08-22
|c f
|d m
|e p
|f eng
|g
|h 0
|i 1
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|a Information bridge
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|i ffea3e50-34ad-5493-9c7c-030d0e9d21f5
|s 4f6a24bc-3082-5409-9932-c2df77b6a6d5
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952 |
f |
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|p Can circulate
|a University of Colorado Boulder
|b Online
|c Online
|d Online
|e E 1.99:TENRAC/EP-83-003
|h Superintendent of Documents classification
|i web
|n 1
|