Table of Contents:
  • How to forecast terrorism : step-by-step explanation of methodology
  • Phase I : define/validate key elements of the intelligence problem
  • Phase II : consolidate information
  • Phase III : sort information
  • Phase IV : draw conclusions
  • Phase V : focus collectors on gaps in intelligence to refine/update conclusions
  • Phase VI : communicate conclusions/give warning
  • Key points to remember
  • Staffing plan
  • The acid test : evaluation of methodology
  • Recommendations for implementation.