Forecasting Enrollments with Fuzzy Time Series [electronic resource] / Qiang Song and Brad S. Chissom.
The concept of fuzzy time series is introduced and used to forecast the enrollment of a university. Fuzzy time series, an aspect of fuzzy set theory, forecasts enrollment using a first-order time-invariant model. To evaluate the model, the conventional linear regression technique is applied and the...
Saved in:
| Online Access: |
Full Text (via ERIC) |
|---|---|
| Main Author: | |
| Other Authors: | |
| Format: | Electronic eBook |
| Language: | English |
| Published: |
[S.l.] :
Distributed by ERIC Clearinghouse,
1991.
|
| Subjects: |
MARC
| LEADER | 00000cam a22000002u 4500 | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| 001 | b6211373 | ||
| 003 | CoU | ||
| 005 | 20080221101621.6 | ||
| 006 | m d f | ||
| 007 | cr un | ||
| 008 | 911101s1991 xx |||| ot ||| | eng d | ||
| 035 | |a (ERIC)ed340733 | ||
| 040 | |a ericd |c ericd |d MvI | ||
| 099 | |f ERIC DOC # |a ED340733 | ||
| 099 | |f ERIC DOC # |a ED340733 | ||
| 100 | 1 | |a Song, Qiang. | |
| 245 | 1 | 0 | |a Forecasting Enrollments with Fuzzy Time Series |h [electronic resource] / |c Qiang Song and Brad S. Chissom. |
| 260 | |a [S.l.] : |b Distributed by ERIC Clearinghouse, |c 1991. | ||
| 300 | |a 16 p. | ||
| 500 | |a ERIC Document Number: ED340733. | ||
| 500 | |a ERIC Note: Paper presented at the Annual Meeting of the Mid-South Educational Research Association (20th, Lexington, KY, November 12-15, 1991). |5 ericd. | ||
| 500 | |a Educational level discussed: Higher Education. | ||
| 520 | |a The concept of fuzzy time series is introduced and used to forecast the enrollment of a university. Fuzzy time series, an aspect of fuzzy set theory, forecasts enrollment using a first-order time-invariant model. To evaluate the model, the conventional linear regression technique is applied and the predicted values obtained are compared to the fuzzy time series results and actual enrollments. The forecasting procedure begins with "fuzzylising" the universe on which the historical data are based, and then interprets output results (actually fuzzy data sets). Comparison with linear regression shows the superiority of the fuzzy time series for forecasting enrollment. Three tables give comparison figures for fuzzy time series, linear regression, and actual values largely for 1972 through 1990. Three references are listed. (SLD) | ||
| 650 | 0 | 7 | |a Educational Trends. |2 ericd. |
| 650 | 1 | 7 | |a Enrollment Projections. |2 ericd. |
| 650 | 1 | 7 | |a Estimation (Mathematics) |2 ericd. |
| 650 | 0 | 7 | |a Higher Education. |2 ericd. |
| 650 | 0 | 7 | |a Long Range Planning. |2 ericd. |
| 650 | 0 | 7 | |a Mathematical Models. |2 ericd. |
| 650 | 1 | 7 | |a Regression (Statistics) |2 ericd. |
| 650 | 1 | 7 | |a Trend Analysis. |2 ericd. |
| 650 | 1 | 7 | |a Universities. |2 ericd. |
| 700 | 1 | |a Chissom, Brad S. | |
| 856 | 4 | 0 | |u http://files.eric.ed.gov/fulltext/ED340733.pdf |z Full Text (via ERIC) |
| 907 | |a .b62113732 |b 07-06-22 |c 10-10-10 | ||
| 998 | |a web |b 10-24-12 |c f |d m |e - |f eng |g xx |h 0 |i 1 | ||
| 956 | |a ERIC | ||
| 999 | f | f | |i 86ec9b48-4a15-5224-a3da-182c996595a4 |s de89ade8-4eb0-5646-b70c-b22e8115933f |
| 952 | f | f | |p Can circulate |a University of Colorado Boulder |b Online |c Online |d Online |e ED340733 |h Other scheme |i web |n 1 |