Economic cycles, crises, and the global periphery / Leonid Grinin, Andrey Korotayev, Arno Tausch ; with a foreword by William R. Thompson.
This thought-provoking monograph analyzes long- medium- and short-term global cycles of prosperity, recession, and depression, plotting them against centuries of important world events. Major research on economic and political cycles is integrated to clarify evolving relationships between the global...
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Full Text (via Springer) |
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| Main Authors: | , , |
| Format: | Electronic eBook |
| Language: | English |
| Published: |
Switzerland :
Springer,
[2016]
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| Series: | International perspectives on social policy, administration, and practice.
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Table of Contents:
- Introduction: cyclical and world-systemic aspects of economic reality with respect to contemporary crisis
- Kondratieff waves in the world system perspective
- Interaction between Kondratieff waves and juglar cycles
- From Kondratieff waves to Akamatsu waves? A new center-periphery perspective on long cycles
- Conclusion: new Kondratieff waves and forthcoming global social transformation.
- Preliminary Discussion
- Introductory Notes
- Some Preliminary Conclusions
- Juglar Cycles as Structural Elements of the K-Waves
- How Many J-Cycles Are There per a K-Wave PhaseAn Analysis of Empirical Data
- Verbal Model of K-Waves
- General Outline
- Notes on Dynamics
- The Main Principles for the Development of the K-Wave Model
- Phase Alteration in the K-Wave Model
- Relationships between К-Waves and J-Cycles
- К-Waves and J-Cycle Clusters
- J-Cycle Clusterization
- On the Correlation between J-Cycles and K-Wave Phases
- General Causes and Mechanisms of Economic Cycles
- Mechanism of Influence of J-Cycles on the Temporal Rhythm of K-Wave Alteration
- Emergence and Resolution of Societal Structural Crisis within A- and B-Clusters of J-Cycles
- Additional Notes
- An Example of More Active Social Activities During K-Wave B-Phases in Comparison with K-Wave A-Phases
- Social Innovations as a Factor of K-Wave Interphase Transitions at the Level of Individual Societies, the Level of Intersocietal Interactions, and the World System Level
- What Limits the Length of the K-Wave A-Phases-- Exhaustion of Growth Factors
- Excessive Business Optimism about the Prospects for Growth and the Revaluation of Assets
- The Long Depression Pause Emerging within Border J-Cycles and the Change of Development Strategy
- The World System Dimension
- Modernization and World-System Socioeconomic Crises
- World-System Crises and Obstacles for the Emergence of the World-System Innovations. World-System Innovations and Their Delays
- How Does the K-Wave Synchronicity in the World System Emerge-- General Characteristics of K-Wave Evolution, Factors, Mechanisms, and Indicators
- How and Why Do the Main K-Wave Dynamics Indicators Change-- General Direction of Changes
- Change of the Role of the State.