Shaping the next one hundred years : new methods for quantitative, long-term policy analysis and bibliography / Robert J. Lempert, Steven W. Popper, Steven C. Bankes.
The checkered history of predicting the future-e.g., "Man will never fly"--Has dissuaded policymakers from considering the long-term effects of decisions. New analytic methods, enabled by modern computers, transform our ability to reason about the future. The authors here demonstrate a qua...
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| Online Access: |
Full Text (via ProQuest) |
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| Main Author: | |
| Other Authors: | , |
| Format: | eBook |
| Language: | English |
| Published: |
Santa Monica, CA :
RAND,
2003.
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| Subjects: |
| Summary: | The checkered history of predicting the future-e.g., "Man will never fly"--Has dissuaded policymakers from considering the long-term effects of decisions. New analytic methods, enabled by modern computers, transform our ability to reason about the future. The authors here demonstrate a quantitative approach to long-term policy analysis (LTPA). Robust methods enable decisionmakers to examine a vast range of futures and design adaptive strategies to be robust across them. Using sustainable development as an example, the authors discuss how these methods apply to LTPA and a wide range of decis. |
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| Item Description: | "MR-1626." |
| Physical Description: | 1 online resource (xxi, 187 pages) |
| Bibliography: | Includes bibliographical references. |
| ISBN: | 0833034855 9780833034854 1282451413 9781282451414 |
| Source of Description, Etc. Note: | Print version record. |