Quantitative methods : an introduction for business management / Paolo Brandimarte.
"This book consists of the following four parts: Motivations and Foundations; Elementary Probability and Statistics; Decision Making Models; and Advanced Statistical Modeling. Part I is introductory, and an initial chapter provides motivation for all of the subsequent chapters by means of simpl...
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Language: | English |
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Hoboken, N.J. :
Wiley,
©2011.
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Table of Contents:
- Front Matter
- Motivations and Foundations. Quantitative Methods: Should We Bother?
- Calculus
- Linear Algebra
- Elementary Probability and Statistics. Descriptive Statistics: On the Way to Elementary Probability
- Probability Theories
- Discrete Random Variables
- Continuous Random Variables
- Dependence, Correlation, and Conditional Expectation
- Inferential Statistics
- Simple Linear Regression
- Time Series Models
- Models for Decision Making. Deterministic Decision Models
- Decision Making Under Risk
- Multiple Decision Makers, Subjective Probability, and Other Wild Beasts
- Advanced Statistical Modeling. Introduction to Multivariate Analysis
- Advanced Regression Models
- Dealing with Complexity: Data Reduction and Clustering
- Index.
- Contents note continued: 11.5.1. Stationary demand: three views of a smoother
- 11.5.2. Stationary demand: initialization and choice of α
- 11.5.3. Smoothing with trend
- 11.5.4. Smoothing with multiplicative seasonality
- 11.5.5. Smoothing with trend and multiplicative seasonality
- 11.6. glance at advanced time series modeling
- 11.6.1. Moving-average processes
- 11.6.2. Autoregressive processes
- 11.6.3. ARMA and ARIMA processes
- 11.6.4. Using time series models for forecasting
- Problems
- For further reading
- References
- pt. III Models for Decision Making
- 12. Deterministic Decision Models
- 12.1. taxonomy of optimization models
- 12.1.1. Linear programming problems
- 12.1.2. Nonlinear programming problems
- 12.1.3. Convex programming: difficult vs. easy problems
- 12.2. Building linear programming models
- 12.2.1. Production planning with assembly of components
- 12.2.2. dynamic model for production planning
- 12.2.3. Blending models
- 12.2.4. Network optimization
- 12.3. repertoire of model formulation tricks
- 12.3.1. Alternative regression models
- 12.3.2. Goal programming
- 12.3.3. Multiobjective optimization
- 12.3.4. Elastic model formulations
- 12.3.5. Column-based model formulations
- 12.4. Building integer programming models
- 12.4.1. Knapsack problem
- 12.4.2. Modeling logical constraints
- 12.4.3. Fixed-charge problem and semicontinuous decision variables
- 12.4.4. Lot-sizing with setup times and costs
- 12.4.5. Plant location
- 12.4.6. optimization model for portfolio tracking and compression
- 12.4.7. Piecewise linear functions
- 12.5. Nonlinear programming concepts
- 12.5.1. case of equality constraints: Lagrange multipliers
- 12.5.2. Dealing with inequality constraints: Karush-Kuhn-Tucker conditions
- 12.5.3. economic interpretation of Lagrange multipliers: shadow prices
- 12.6. glance at solution methods
- 12.6.1. Simplex method
- 12.6.2. LP-based branch and bound method
- 12.6.3. impact of model formulation
- Problems
- For further reading
- References
- 13. Decision Making Under Risk
- 13.1. Decision trees
- 13.1.1. Expected value of perfect information
- 13.2. Risk aversion and risk measures
- 13.2.1. conceptual tool: the utility function
- 13.2.2. Mean-risk optimization
- 13.2.3. Quantile-based risk measures: value at risk
- 13.3. Two-stage stochastic programming models
- 13.3.1. two-stage model: assembly-to-order production planning
- 13.3.2. value of the stochastic solution
- 13.3.3. mean-risk formulation of the assembly-to-order problem
- 13.4. Multistage stochastic linear programming with recourse
- 13.4.1. multistage model: asset-liability management
- 13.4.2. Asset-liability management with transaction costs
- 13.4.3. Scenario generation for stochastic programming
- 13.5. Robustness, regret, and disappointment
- 13.5.1. Robust optimization
- 13.5.2. Disappointment and regret in decision making
- Problems
- For further reading
- References
- 14. Multiple Decision Makers, Subjective Probability, and Other Wild Beasts
- 14.1. What is uncertainty-- 14.1.1. standard case: decision making under risk
- 14.1.2. Uncertainty about uncertainty
- 14.1.3. Do black swans exist-- 14.1.4. Is uncertainty purely exogenous-- 14.2. Decision problems with multiple decision makers
- 14.3. Incentive misalignment in supply chain management
- 14.4. Game theory
- 14.4.1. Games in normal form
- 14.4.2. Equilibrium in dominant strategies
- 14.4.3. Nash equilibrium
- 14.4.4. Simultaneous vs. sequential games
- 14.5. Braess' paradox for traffic networks
- 14.6. Dynamic feedback effects and herding behavior
- 14.7. Subjective probability: the Bayesian view
- 14.7.1. Bayesian estimation
- 14.7.2. financial application: The Black-Litterman model
- Problems
- For further reading
- References
- pt. IV Advanced Statistical Modeling
- 15. Introduction to Multivariate Analysis
- 15.1. Issues in multivariate analysis
- 15.1.1. Visualization
- 15.1.2. Complexity and redundancy
- 15.1.3. Different types of variables
- 15.1.4. Adapting statistical inference procedures
- 15.1.5. Missing data and outliers
- 15.2. overview of multivariate methods
- 15.2.1. Multiple regression models
- 15.2.2. Principal component analysis
- 15.2.3. Factor analysis
- 15.2.4. Cluster analysis
- 15.2.5. Canonical correlation
- 15.2.6. Discriminant analysis
- 15.2.7. Structural equation models with latent variables
- 15.2.8. Multidimensional scaling
- 15.2.9. Correspondence analysis
- 15.3. Matrix algebra and multivariate analysis
- 15.3.1. Covariance matrices
- 15.3.2. Measuring distance and the Mahalanobis transformation
- For further reading
- References
- 16. Advanced Regression Models
- 16.1. Multiple linear regression by least squares
- 16.2. Building, testing, and using multiple linear regression models
- 16.2.1. Selecting explanatory variables: collinearity
- 16.2.2. Testing a multiple regression model
- 16.2.3. Using regression for forecasting and explanation purposes
- 16.3. Logistic regression
- 16.3.1. digression: logit and probit choice models
- 16.4. glance at nonlinear regression
- 16.4.1. Polynomial regression
- 16.4.2. Data transformations
- Problems
- For further reading
- References
- 17. Dealing with Complexity: Data Reduction and Clustering
- 17.1. need for data reduction
- 17.2. Principal component analysis (PCA)
- 17.2.1. geometric view of PCA
- 17.2.2. Another view of PCA
- 17.2.3. small numerical example
- 17.2.4. Applications of PCA
- 17.3. Factor analysis
- 17.4. Cluster analysis
- 17.4.1. Measuring distance
- 17.4.2. Hierarchical methods
- 17.4.3. Nonhierarchical clustering: k-means
- For further reading
- References.